Mike London finally gets his big debut as Virginia’s football coach on Saturday. After spending the last eight months trying to fix everything that Al Groh had let slide during his nine year reign of mediocrity, he finally gets to see his charges take the field against someone not wearing the same colors and gauge how things are going. The waiting has probably been driving him nuts – it’s like giving a kid a new toy and not letting him go outside and play with it.
Unfortunately for the fan base, the biggest difference this season won’t be measured in winning percentage. I’m not sure that – regardless of if coached by Mike London, Al Groh, or Gene Lombardi – this team has the horses to finish above the bottom of the ACC. The biggest difference will come as a comprehensive result of the little things. Do players know their roles and communicate with the coaching staff? Are roster moves (position changes and redshirts) still seemingly handled by a drunk man at a dart board? Does the team still beat themselves with dumb turnovers and by routinely committing the worst possible penalty at the worst possible time?
College football conventional wisdom dictates that opening the 2010 season against an FCS opponent at home should be a breeze, and that there’s no way that facing a lower tier opponent should be able to spoil the good feelings surrounding Mike London’s head coaching debut in orange and blue. Unfortunately, conventional wisdom must have had other plans here, here here, here or here – and I could keep going! The William and Mary debacle last season should be enough on its own to keep you taking Richmond seriously, but the rest of those results just pile on to the point that this team doesn’t have the luxury of looking past anyone – not even the supposed in-state punching bags.
All time, the ‘Hoos are 25-2-2 against UR, and 23-1-1 at home. The last meeting was perhaps the worst all-around football game I’ve ever had the displeasure of watching: the 16-0 Virginia win in 2008 that ended Peter Lalich’s two game reign as the starting quarterback. There is some good news and bad news with regard to season openers. Good news first: the team is 70-19-7 all time in home openers, and have won 13 of the last 16 openers in Scott Stadium. Now the bad news: despite decent all time numbers (.668 winning percentage), the ‘Hoos have lost four straight season openers, and no one on the current roster has been part of a season opening win. No one on the current roster has beaten Virginia Tech either, but that’s a different story for a different day.
About the Spiders:
Someone’s going to run to the wrong sideline on Saturday. Richmond hired former assistant (and 2009 Virginia WR coach) Latrell Scott to fill their head coaching vacancy just days after Mike London left Richmond for Virginia. Continuing the theme, Richmond has seven staffers with UVa ties and UVa has five with ties to the Spiders. Even if we didn’t have a seeming inability to lay the smack down against seemingly weaker opposition, Richmond might not be that weak anyway. Ranked #6 in the preseason FCS poll, the Spiders boast seven All-CAA selections, three candidates for the Buck Buchanan Award (given to the top FCS defensive player), and start former starter at USC (yes, seriously, an ex-USC guy with no east coast roots ended up at an FCS school across the country playing for a first time head coach. I’m as stumped as you are) Aaron Corp at quarterback. They’ve won their last 12 road games, have beaten Duke twice in the last five years (including last season, when you may remember that Duke beat us at home), and were the 2008 FCS Champions.
On offense, Corp is the leader of a group that lost seven starters from the 2009 team, including four linemen. Regarded as the eventual heir to Matt Sanchez when he arrived at USC, Corp battled injuries and inconsistency for both of his years there. His lone start (a 16-13 USC loss to Washington in 2009) resulted in the fewest passing yards by USC in the Pete Carroll era. Richmond lost their top two rushers from a year ago (back Justin Forte and quarterback Eric Ward), but third leading rusher Garrett Wilkins (61 carries, 282 yards) sits in a tie atop the depth chart alongside redshirt senior Tyler Kirchoff (45 carries, 190 yards in ‘09) and redshirt freshman Jovan Smith. Corp will be without his top two playmakers split wide: record setting senior wideout Kevin Grayson will probably miss this game with an injury and redshirt junior Donte Boston (33 catches, 494 yards 4 TDs in ‘09) is suspended for at least the opening week with academic “issues.” It’ll be up to junior possession guy Tre Gray (51 catches, 713 yards 4 TDs in ‘09) and John Thompson (redshirted ‘09) to carry the weight.
Defensively, the Spiders lost seven more starters from their ‘09 unit – one that ranked 20th in the FCS in total defense. The returnees happen to be talented. Patrick Weldon and Eric McBride are the playmakers in the middle – the two linebackers combined for 191 tackles (11 for loss) and three interceptions in ‘09. Senior defensive tackle Martin Parker and his 6.5 sacks anchor the line and Justin Rogers leads the secondary – he led the team in pass breakups (8) and finished second in interceptions (3).
Their punter and kicker both lack game experience, and can probably be rattled by a big crowd or a fierce rush. It remains to be seen if we can generate either.
High Five: The Keys to Success
1.) Establish the run.
This was a team that – in the words of their own coach, no less – spent much of 2009 without an offensive identity. I’d like to not have to go through that again, and think a stout running game is a good place to start. Here’s why: a.) our line has a distinct size and strength advantage over UR’s guys and should win the battles on the line of scrimmage b.) we have an abundance of decent tailbacks of different shapes, sizes and skill sets who could all use some snaps c.) our quarterback is historically prone to making dumb mistakes when given a long leash, and finally d.) our defense should be pretty good this year provided that we have a way to get them off the field and don’t leave them at the mercy of opposing offenses for 38 minutes a gme.
2.) Get to Corp often and early.
Corp is obviously one of the higher profile members of this UR team, and receiver is one of the deepest positions on the Spider roster. Even without Boston and probably without Grayson, Richmond still boasts enough playmakers in Tre Gray, John Thompson, Ben Edwards and tight end prospect Kevin Finney to score some points through the air. If Cam Johnson, Zane Parr and Matt Conrath can generate pressure on Corp from the trenches without us having to bring much of a blitz, we should be in good shape to disrupt the Spider passing attack.
3.) Shut down Tremayne Graham
This speedy junior cornerback led the team in kick returns at 25.2 a pop last season, including a 94 yard sprint for a score against Georgetown. Cliche warning: big special teams plays are one of the keys to swinging momentum and pulling an upset – hopefully ‘Dex has his guys better prepared than Ron Prince ever did last season.
4.) Play mistake free.
There can be no turnovers, no big penalties, and no chances for Richmond to seize on sudden changes of possession. The only reason we fell to William & Mary last year was that we somehow found a way to cough the ball up seven times. Seven times! Against William and Mary! That’s like something that would only happen in a video game. You’d be hard pressed to beat a local high school if you give them the ball seven times, and W&M took advantage.
5.) Keep Verica standing.
If it all goes through like it’s supposed to, Marc won’t be heavily relied on in this game – but when he is, I’d like him to have plenty of time so he can go through his reads and not have to rush. Verica rushing throws leads to Verica throwing picks which in turn leads to words slipping out of my mouth that lead to ugly looks from families seated nearby. Let’s keep it family friendly. Verica having time in the pocket will also give our receivers – in their first game in a new offense – time to get open.
Keep an Eye On:
1.) Faces in new places.
The two deep for this game features nine guys playing their first game at a new position – including starters Max Milien (moved from tailback to fullback), LaRoy Reynolds (safety to linebacker), Ausar Walcott (safety to linebacker) and Cam Johnson (linebacker to defensive end, or the position he was born to play). Matt Conrath (defensive end to defensive tackle), Terence Fells-Danzer (linebacker to fullback), Jeremiah Mathis (linebacker to defensive end), Trey Womack (corner to safety) and Dom Joseph (corner to safety) should also contribute.
2.) Ras-I against Kevin Grayson (if he plays)
It’s always fun to watch Ras-I take on an opponents number one receiver. Grayson is a deep threat who is closing in on career receptions and yards records for the Spiders, and though he’s been listed as a game time decision with a sprained knee, a buddy of mine from Richmond has told me he’ll be sitting out.
3.) Who makes the most of the running back opportunity.
It’s been a long time coming for Raynard Horne, named this week as a “co-starter” with Perry Jones. If nothing else, it will be interesting to see a guy who has been lauded as being the best all-around runner on the team finally get some consistent looks on Saturdays. I’m guessing that Jones and Horne will switch out depending on the game situation, and also that this is not the last shuffle of the running back depth chart we’ll see this season.
4.) Offensive crispness
It never appeared that our guys were entirely certain what they were doing on the field last season. I don’t expect London and Bill Lazer to empty their bag of tricks in week one, but it’d at least be nice to see a certain fluidity: guys knowing their blocking assignments, receivers running the right routes, the correct package of players being on the field for each play – less broken plays overall.
5.) The new uniforms.
I’ve played enough NCAA ‘11 that I’m starting to get used to them, but I’d like to see them in real life before deciding if I like them or not. The only thing I’m sure about is that you can come up with some ugly combos. I am at least excited that we finally have a modern take on the orange home jersey. Even if it doesn’t become a regular fixture, it’ll be fun to see when it does appear.
The Verdict:
I realize that a lot of this post has been spent fear mongering, but that’s just my obligation as (sort of) part of the media. I see Richmond putting up a good fight – the Spiders have plenty of experience against ACC competition – but Virginia managing to wear them down enough to win out. Normally in this situation I’d say something like “eventually talent/physical ability will carry us by them” but I don’t think our talent or athleticism margin over the Spiders is significant enough to get us to blowout status. I hope I’m wrong.
Virginia 27, Richmond 17


